Adam Wieczorek vs Kirill Grishenko
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
11-3-0Record10-2-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'5"Height6'4"
46,0"Reach-
232 lbsWeight247 lbs
AKS ChorzowTeamM2G Sports Club
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1682
If they lose-16→ 1650
If they win+16→ 1682
If they lose-16→ 1650
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1555 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1573 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Adam WieczorekKirill Grishenko
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Kirill Grishenko66%
Adam Wieczorek 34%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Kirill Grishenko a 66% favorite over Adam Wieczorek in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Adam Wieczorek's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1666 vs 1666), separated by just 0 points.
Kirill Grishenko enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Adam Wieczorek finishes 91% of wins inside the distance, Kirill Grishenko 50%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.