Adam Wieczorek vs Marcos Rogerio de Lima
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
11-3-0Record22-9-1
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'5"Height6'1"
46,0"Reach75"
232 lbsWeight262 lbs
AKS ChorzowTeamAmerican Top Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1682
If they lose-16→ 1650
If they win+16→ 1689
If they lose-16→ 1657
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1555 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1687 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Adam WieczorekMarcos Rogerio de Lima
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Marcos Rogerio de Lima53%
Adam Wieczorek 47%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Marcos Rogerio de Lima a 53% favorite over Adam Wieczorek in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1666 vs 1673), separated by just 7 points.
Adam Wieczorek finishes 91% of wins inside the distance, Marcos Rogerio de Lima 82%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.