Adama Diop vs Shane del Rosario
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
7-1-0Record11-2-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'1"Height6'3"
79"ReachTBD
261 lbsWeight246 lbs
Mantis MMA DakarTeamTeam Oyama· 1643 avg Elo · 5 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1674
If they lose-24→ 1626
If they win+16→ 1672
If they lose-16→ 1640
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1525 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1531 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Adama DiopShane del Rosario
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Adama Diop59%
Shane del Rosario 41%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Adama Diop a 59% favorite over Shane del Rosario in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Shane del Rosario's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1650 vs 1656), separated by just 6 points.
Adama Diop enters on a 6-fight win streak.
Shane del Rosario enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Adama Diop finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Shane del Rosario 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.