Adionai Maciel vs Jimmy Flick
Records, Elo, stats and the Combat Edge model read, side by side.
Combat Edge model read
Jimmy Flick67%
Adionai Maciel 33%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Jimmy Flick a 67% favorite over Adionai Maciel in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1625 vs 1626), separated by just 1 points.
Adionai Maciel enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Jimmy Flick enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Adionai Maciel finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Jimmy Flick 88%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Tale of the tape
11-2-0Record17-9-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
TBDHeight5'7"
TBDReach68"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1641
If they lose-16→ 1609
If they win+16→ 1642
If they lose-16→ 1610
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1495 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1613 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Adionai MacielJimmy Flick