Combat Edge Intelligence

Adli Edwards vs Clay Collard

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

9-3-0Record25-13-0
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height5'11"
TBDReach73.00"
145 lbsWeight155 lbs
Sunshine Performance TrainingTeamFour7 Training Center

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Adli EdwardsNow 1636
If they win+16→ 1652
If they lose-16→ 1620
Clay CollardNow 1635
If they win+12→ 1647
If they lose-12→ 1623

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1543 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1680 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

0
Sig. strikes / min
4.22
TBD
Strike accuracy
32%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5
TBD
Strike defense
51%
TBD
Takedown avg.
2.81
TBD
Takedown accuracy
39%
TBD
Takedown defense
71%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.51

Trajectory

Adli EdwardsClay Collard
1600165020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

2 (22%)
KO/TKO
12 (48%)
3 (33%)
Submission
3 (12%)
4 (44%)
Decision
10 (40%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Adli Edwards and Clay Collard within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1636 vs 1635), separated by just 1 points.

Adli Edwards enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Clay Collard enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Adli Edwards finishes 56% of wins inside the distance, Clay Collard 60%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.