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Combat Edge Intelligence

Adrian Bartosiński vs Tymoteusz Łopaczyk

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Official bout pages

New comparison

This page compares both fighters across their careers. Event-specific previews, results, round stats, and bout facts live on the separate official Fight page for each meeting.

Tale of the tape

19-1-0Record13-3-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height5'9"
TBDReach73"
170 lbsWeight171 lbs
Octopus LodzTeamWCA Fight Team· 1602 avg Elo · 8 rated

What's at stake

Adrian Bartosiński is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Tymoteusz Łopaczyk carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Adrian BartosińskiNow 1785
If they win+10→ 1795
If they lose-22→ 1763
Tymoteusz ŁopaczykNow 1646
If they win+22→ 1668
If they lose-10→ 1636

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1620 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1539 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
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Strike accuracy
Not available
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
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Strike defense
Not available
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Takedown avg.
Not available
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Takedown accuracy
Not available
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Takedown defense
Not available
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Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Adrian BartosińskiTymoteusz Łopaczyk
16001650170017501800202420252026

Win method breakdown

12 (67%)
KO/TKO
7 (50%)
2 (11%)
Submission
4 (29%)
4 (22%)
Decision
3 (21%)

Combat Edge model read

Adrian Bartosiński84%
Tymoteusz Łopaczyk 16%Elo baseline: 69%

The Combat Edge model makes Adrian Bartosiński a 84% favorite over Tymoteusz Łopaczyk in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (69%).

Adrian Bartosiński holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1785 to 1646, a 139-point edge.

Adrian Bartosiński enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Adrian Bartosiński finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, Tymoteusz Łopaczyk 79%.

Adrian Bartosiński and Tymoteusz Łopaczyk share 2 common opponents: Madars Fleminas and Andrzej Grzebyk.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (2)

WinDecision (Unanimous) · 2025
WinSubmission (Kneebar) · 2022
Andrzej Grzebyk
WinSubmission (Guillotine Choke) · 2026
WinDecision (Split) · 2026
Madars Fleminas
LossDecision (Split) · 2025