Adrian Bartosiński vs Robbie Lawler
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
19-1-0Record30-16-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height5'11"
TBDReach74"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Octopus LodzTeamKill Cliff FC
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1801
If they lose-16→ 1769
If they win+12→ 1800
If they lose-12→ 1776
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1620 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1762 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Adrian BartosińskiRobbie Lawler
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Adrian Bartosiński60%
Robbie Lawler 40%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Adrian Bartosiński a 60% favorite over Robbie Lawler in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Robbie Lawler's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1785 vs 1788), separated by just 3 points.
Adrian Bartosiński enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Adrian Bartosiński finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, Robbie Lawler 77%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.