Combat Edge Intelligence

Adrian Diaz vs Manolo Zecchini

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

11-7-1Record11-5-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'10"Height5'9"
TBDReach68"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Team Alpha MaleTeamMMA Atletica Boxe Milano

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Adrian DiazNow 1561
If they win+16→ 1577
If they lose-16→ 1545
Manolo ZecchiniNow 1565
If they win+16→ 1581
If they lose-16→ 1549

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1535 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1529 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

0.48
Sig. strikes / min
2.34
43%
Strike accuracy
22%
3.84
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
6.75
51%
Strike defense
47%
2.40
Takedown avg.
0
50%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
0%
Takedown defense
0%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Adrian DiazManolo Zecchini
155016002017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (36%)
KO/TKO
9 (82%)
5 (45%)
Submission
1 (9%)
2 (18%)
Decision
1 (9%)

Combat Edge model read

Manolo Zecchini70%
Adrian Diaz 30%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Manolo Zecchini a 70% favorite over Adrian Diaz in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1561 vs 1565), separated by just 4 points.

Adrian Diaz enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Manolo Zecchini enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Adrian Diaz finishes 82% of wins inside the distance, Manolo Zecchini 91%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.