Adrian Serrano vs Alan Silva
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
56-29-4Record20-14-1
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'8"Height5'11"
TBDReach-
175 lbsWeight184 lbs
Adrian Serrano Combat Sports GymTeamTeam Abacaxi
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1551
If they lose-12→ 1527
If they win+12→ 1556
If they lose-12→ 1532
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1488 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1549 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Adrian SerranoAlan Silva
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Alan Silva59%
Adrian Serrano 41%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Alan Silva a 59% favorite over Adrian Serrano in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1539 vs 1544), separated by just 5 points.
Alan Silva enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Adrian Serrano finishes 85% of wins inside the distance, Alan Silva 85%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.