Adrian Serrano vs James Romero
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
56-29-4Record4-2-0
MiddleweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
5'8"Height6'2"
TBDReach-
175 lbsWeight205 lbs
Adrian Serrano Combat Sports GymTeamFit NHB
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1551
If they lose-12→ 1527
If they win+24→ 1561
If they lose-24→ 1513
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1488 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1512 · 7 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Adrian SerranoJames Romero
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
James Romero52%
Adrian Serrano 48%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes James Romero a 52% favorite over Adrian Serrano in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Adrian Serrano's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1539 vs 1537), separated by just 2 points.
Adrian Serrano finishes 85% of wins inside the distance, James Romero 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.