Adrian Serrano vs Johnny Santos
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
56-29-4Record2-0-0
MiddleweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
5'8"Height5'10"
TBDReach-
175 lbsWeight195 lbs
Adrian Serrano Combat Sports GymTeamTeixeira MMA & Fitness· 1650 avg Elo · 6 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1551
If they lose-12→ 1527
If they win+24→ 1562
If they lose-24→ 1514
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1488 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1556 · 3 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Adrian SerranoJohnny Santos
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Johnny Santos63%
Adrian Serrano 37%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Johnny Santos a 63% favorite over Adrian Serrano in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Adrian Serrano's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1539 vs 1538), separated by just 1 points.
Johnny Santos enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Adrian Serrano finishes 85% of wins inside the distance.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.