Adrian Serrano vs José Medina
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
56-29-4Record11-7-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'8"Height6'0"
TBDReach74″
175 lbsWeight185 lbs
Adrian Serrano Combat Sports GymTeamPhuket Fight Club
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1551
If they lose-12→ 1527
If they win+16→ 1552
If they lose-16→ 1520
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1488 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1562 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Adrian SerranoJosé Medina
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
José Medina62%
Adrian Serrano 38%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes José Medina a 62% favorite over Adrian Serrano in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Adrian Serrano's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1539 vs 1536), separated by just 3 points.
José Medina enters on a 5-fight loss streak.
Adrian Serrano finishes 85% of wins inside the distance, José Medina 91%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.