Adrian Serrano vs Shonie Carter
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
56-29-4Record52-32-7
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'8"Height5'9"
TBDReachTBD
175 lbsWeight176 lbs
Adrian Serrano Combat Sports GymTeamIron Academy
What's at stake
Adrian Serrano is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Shonie Carter carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1550
If they lose-13→ 1526
If they win+13→ 1510
If they lose-11→ 1486
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1488 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1538 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Adrian SerranoShonie Carter
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Adrian Serrano and Shonie Carter within a point of even.
Adrian Serrano holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1539 to 1497, a 42-point edge.
Shonie Carter enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Adrian Serrano finishes 85% of wins inside the distance, Shonie Carter 52%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.