Adrian Yanez vs Gustavo Lopez
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-6-1Record16-8-1
BantamweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'7"Height5'5"
70"Reach67"
135 lbsWeight145 lbs
Metro Fight Club· 1615 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamXtreme Couture
What's at stake
Adrian Yanez is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Gustavo Lopez carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+10→ 1720
If they lose-14→ 1696
If they win+14→ 1659
If they lose-10→ 1635
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1674 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1548 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Adrian YanezGustavo Lopez
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Adrian Yanez86%
Gustavo Lopez 14%Elo baseline: 59%
The Combat Edge model makes Adrian Yanez a 86% favorite over Gustavo Lopez in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (59%).
Adrian Yanez holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1710 to 1645, a 65-point edge.
Gustavo Lopez enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Adrian Yanez finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, Gustavo Lopez 94%.
Adrian Yanez carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.