Combat Edge Intelligence

Adrian Yanez vs Jonathan Martinez

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

18-6-1Record19-6-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'7"
70"Reach70"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Metro Fight ClubTeamFactory X

What's at stake

Adrian Yanez is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Jonathan Martinez carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Adrian YanezNow 1708
If they win+11→ 1719
If they lose-13→ 1695
Jonathan MartinezNow 1678
If they win+17→ 1695
If they lose-15→ 1663

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1673 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1713 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.96
Sig. strikes / min
4.44
42%
Strike accuracy
50%
5.24
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.09
57%
Strike defense
57%
0
Takedown avg.
0.38
0%
Takedown accuracy
36%
75%
Takedown defense
68%
0
Submission avg.
0.08

Trajectory

Adrian YanezJonathan Martinez
165017002023202420252026

Win method breakdown

12 (67%)
KO/TKO
9 (47%)
2 (11%)
Submission
2 (11%)
4 (22%)
Decision
8 (42%)

Combat Edge model read

Adrian Yanez87%
Jonathan Martinez 13%Elo baseline: 54%

The Combat Edge model makes Adrian Yanez a 87% favorite over Jonathan Martinez in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (54%).

Adrian Yanez holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1708 to 1678, a 30-point edge.

Jonathan Martinez enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Adrian Yanez finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, Jonathan Martinez 58%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.