Adrian Yanez vs Randy Costa
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-6-1Record8-4-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'10"
70"Reach73"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Metro Fight Club· 1615 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamLauzon MMA
What's at stake
Adrian Yanez is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +7 while a loss costs more — Randy Costa carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+7→ 1717
If they lose-17→ 1693
If they win+22→ 1583
If they lose-10→ 1551
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1674 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1558 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Adrian YanezRandy Costa
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Adrian Yanez83%
Randy Costa 17%Elo baseline: 70%
The Combat Edge model makes Adrian Yanez a 83% favorite over Randy Costa in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (70%).
Adrian Yanez holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1710 to 1561, a 149-point edge.
Adrian Yanez finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, Randy Costa 100%.
Adrian Yanez and Randy Costa share 1 common opponent: Tony Kelley.
Randy Costa carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.