Combat Edge Intelligence

Adriano Martins vs Daron Cruickshank

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

29-12-0Record23-14-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'8"
72,0"ReachTBD
154 lbsWeight155 lbs
Top Life AmazonasTeamMichigan Top Team

What's at stake

Adriano Martins is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Daron Cruickshank carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Adriano MartinsNow 1670
If they win+10→ 1680
If they lose-14→ 1656
Daron CruickshankNow 1602
If they win+14→ 1616
If they lose-10→ 1592

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1620 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1540 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.80
Sig. strikes / min
2.88
39%
Strike accuracy
38%
2.14
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.98
65%
Strike defense
57%
0.83
Takedown avg.
2.04
80%
Takedown accuracy
42%
82%
Takedown defense
60%
0.41
Submission avg.
0.23

Trajectory

Adriano MartinsDaron Cruickshank
16001650201920202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

13 (45%)
KO/TKO
14 (61%)
3 (10%)
Submission
2 (9%)
13 (45%)
Decision
7 (30%)

Combat Edge model read

Adriano Martins60%
Daron Cruickshank 40%Elo baseline: 60%

The Combat Edge model makes Adriano Martins a 60% favorite over Daron Cruickshank in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (60%).

Adriano Martins holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1670 to 1602, a 68-point edge.

Adriano Martins finishes 55% of wins inside the distance, Daron Cruickshank 70%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.