Combat Edge Intelligence

Adriano Martins vs Darragh Kelly

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Darragh Kelly
ie

Darragh Kelly

“Moville Mauler”

9-1-0FeatherweightPFL

1672Good

Tale of the tape

29-12-0Record9-1-0
LightweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'10"Height6'0"
72,0"Reach73"
154 lbsWeight145 lbs
Top Life AmazonasTeamSBG Ireland

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Adriano MartinsNow 1670
If they win+12→ 1682
If they lose-12→ 1658
Darragh KellyNow 1672
If they win+16→ 1688
If they lose-16→ 1656

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1620 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1547 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.80
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
39%
Strike accuracy
TBD
2.14
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
65%
Strike defense
TBD
0.83
Takedown avg.
TBD
80%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
82%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.41
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Adriano MartinsDarragh Kelly
16001650170020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

13 (45%)
KO/TKO
2 (22%)
3 (10%)
Submission
5 (56%)
13 (45%)
Decision
2 (22%)

Combat Edge model read

Darragh Kelly71%
Adriano Martins 29%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Darragh Kelly a 71% favorite over Adriano Martins in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1670 vs 1672), separated by just 2 points.

Adriano Martins finishes 55% of wins inside the distance, Darragh Kelly 78%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.