Combat Edge Intelligence

Adriano Martins vs Edson Barboza

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

29-12-0Record24-15-0
LightweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'10"Height5'11"
72,0"Reach75"
154 lbsWeight145 lbs
Top Life AmazonasTeamAmerican Top Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Adriano MartinsNow 1670
If they win+12→ 1682
If they lose-12→ 1658
Edson BarbozaNow 1669
If they win+12→ 1681
If they lose-12→ 1657

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1620 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1725 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.80
Sig. strikes / min
4.14
39%
Strike accuracy
45%
2.14
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.68
65%
Strike defense
56%
0.83
Takedown avg.
0.43
80%
Takedown accuracy
32%
82%
Takedown defense
73%
0.41
Submission avg.
0.08

Trajectory

Adriano MartinsEdson Barboza
1650170020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

13 (45%)
KO/TKO
14 (58%)
3 (10%)
Submission
1 (4%)
13 (45%)
Decision
9 (38%)

Combat Edge model read

Edson Barboza70%
Adriano Martins 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Edson Barboza a 70% favorite over Adriano Martins in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Adriano Martins's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1670 vs 1669), separated by just 1 points.

Edson Barboza enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Adriano Martins finishes 55% of wins inside the distance, Edson Barboza 63%.

Edson Barboza carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.