Adriano Martins vs Kajan Johnson
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
29-12-0Record23-13-1
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'11"
72,0"Reach75,5"
154 lbsWeight155 lbs
Top Life AmazonasTeamTristar Gym
What's at stake
Adriano Martins is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Kajan Johnson carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+10→ 1680
If they lose-14→ 1656
If they win+14→ 1629
If they lose-10→ 1605
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1620 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1632 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Adriano MartinsKajan Johnson
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Adriano Martins54%
Kajan Johnson 46%Elo baseline: 58%
The Combat Edge model makes Adriano Martins a 54% favorite over Kajan Johnson in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (58%).
Adriano Martins holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1670 to 1615, a 55-point edge.
Kajan Johnson enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Adriano Martins finishes 55% of wins inside the distance, Kajan Johnson 70%.
Adriano Martins and Kajan Johnson share 2 common opponents: Islam Makhachev and Rustam Khabilov.
Kajan Johnson carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.