Adriano Martins vs Leonardo Santos
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
29-12-0Record18-6-1
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height6'0"
72,0"Reach75"
154 lbsWeight155 lbs
Top Life AmazonasTeamNova Uniao
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1682
If they lose-12→ 1658
If they win+16→ 1694
If they lose-16→ 1662
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1620 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1679 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Adriano MartinsLeonardo Santos
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Leonardo Santos57%
Adriano Martins 43%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Leonardo Santos a 57% favorite over Adriano Martins in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1670 vs 1678), separated by just 8 points.
Leonardo Santos enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Adriano Martins finishes 55% of wins inside the distance, Leonardo Santos 71%.
Leonardo Santos carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.