Combat Edge Intelligence

Adriano Martins vs Noah Gugnon

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

29-12-0Record10-2-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'10"
72,0"Reach68"
154 lbsWeight156 lbs
Top Life AmazonasTeamBulgarian Top Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Adriano MartinsNow 1670
If they win+12→ 1682
If they lose-12→ 1658
Noah GugnonNow 1671
If they win+16→ 1687
If they lose-16→ 1655

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1620 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1528 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.80
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
39%
Strike accuracy
TBD
2.14
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
65%
Strike defense
TBD
0.83
Takedown avg.
TBD
80%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
82%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.41
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Adriano MartinsNoah Gugnon
15501600165020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

13 (45%)
KO/TKO
6 (60%)
3 (10%)
Submission
4 (40%)
13 (45%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Noah Gugnon63%
Adriano Martins 37%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Noah Gugnon a 63% favorite over Adriano Martins in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1670 vs 1671), separated by just 1 points.

Noah Gugnon enters on a 6-fight win streak.

Adriano Martins finishes 55% of wins inside the distance, Noah Gugnon 100%.

Adriano Martins carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.