Adriano Martins vs Rustam Khabilov
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
29-12-0Record24-4-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height5'8"
72,0"Reach40,5"
154 lbsWeight170 lbs
Top Life AmazonasTeamJackson-Wink MMA
What's at stake
Rustam Khabilov is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Adriano Martins carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+16→ 1686
If they lose-8→ 1662
If they win+8→ 1793
If they lose-16→ 1769
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1620 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1706 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Adriano MartinsRustam Khabilov
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Rustam Khabilov84%
Adriano Martins 16%Elo baseline: 66%
The Combat Edge model makes Rustam Khabilov a 84% favorite over Adriano Martins in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (66%).
Rustam Khabilov holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1785 to 1670, a 115-point edge.
Adriano Martins finishes 55% of wins inside the distance, Rustam Khabilov 38%.
Adriano Martins and Rustam Khabilov share 1 common opponent: Kajan Johnson.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.