Adriano Moraes vs Ciaran Clarke
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
23-6-0Record10-1-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'8"Height5'8"
70"Reach66"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Constrictor TeamTeamSBG Ireland
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1687
If they lose-16→ 1655
If they win+16→ 1684
If they lose-16→ 1652
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1610 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1505 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Adriano MoraesCiaran Clarke
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Adriano Moraes59%
Ciaran Clarke 41%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Adriano Moraes a 59% favorite over Ciaran Clarke in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1671 vs 1668), separated by just 3 points.
Adriano Moraes finishes 74% of wins inside the distance, Ciaran Clarke 60%.
Adriano Moraes carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.