Combat Edge Intelligence

Adriano Moraes vs Ciaran Clarke

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

23-6-0Record10-1-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'8"Height5'8"
70"Reach66"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Constrictor TeamTeamSBG Ireland

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Adriano MoraesNow 1667
If they win+16→ 1683
If they lose-16→ 1651
Ciaran ClarkeNow 1669
If they win+16→ 1685
If they lose-16→ 1653

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1602 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1506 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
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Strike accuracy
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
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Strike defense
TBD
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Takedown avg.
TBD
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Takedown accuracy
TBD
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Takedown defense
TBD
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Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Adriano MoraesCiaran Clarke
16501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (17%)
KO/TKO
1 (10%)
13 (57%)
Submission
5 (50%)
6 (26%)
Decision
4 (40%)

Combat Edge model read

Ciaran Clarke56%
Adriano Moraes 44%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Ciaran Clarke a 56% favorite over Adriano Moraes in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1667 vs 1669), separated by just 2 points.

Adriano Moraes finishes 74% of wins inside the distance, Ciaran Clarke 60%.

Adriano Moraes carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.