Model win probabilities for every bout on LFA 240: Sanders vs Gomez (August 28, 2026), computed from point-in-time Elo, records, and matchup data. Forecasts freeze before fight night and every result is graded on the public accuracy tracker. Analytics, not betting advice.
Model lean50/50 baselineModel hit · Chuy Rodriguez won
57%Chuy Rodriguez43%Jarred Gonzales
Combat Edge win probabilityElo alone: 50% / 50%
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