Adriano Moraes vs Kasib Murdoch
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
23-6-0Record8-0-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'8"Height5'4"
70"Reach65"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Constrictor TeamTeamFreestyle Fighting Gym· 1735 avg Elo · 3 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1687
If they lose-16→ 1655
If they win+24→ 1697
If they lose-24→ 1649
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1610 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1500 · 8 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Adriano MoraesKasib Murdoch
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Kasib Murdoch62%
Adriano Moraes 38%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Kasib Murdoch a 62% favorite over Adriano Moraes in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1671 vs 1673), separated by just 2 points.
Kasib Murdoch enters on a 8-fight win streak.
Adriano Moraes finishes 74% of wins inside the distance, Kasib Murdoch 88%.
Adriano Moraes carries a 5-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.