Adryen Spinks vs Noah Gasho
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
1-1-0Record4-0-0
BantamweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'9"
-Reach-
135 lbsWeight149 lbs
Combines Martial ScienceTeamThe Academy MN· 1573 avg Elo · 4 rated
What's at stake
Noah Gasho is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +18 while a loss costs more — Adryen Spinks carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+30→ 1533
If they lose-18→ 1485
If they win+18→ 1616
If they lose-30→ 1568
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1500 · 2 fightsPre-fight Elo1500 · 4 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Adryen SpinksNoah Gasho
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Noah Gasho67%
Adryen Spinks 33%Elo baseline: 63%
The Combat Edge model makes Noah Gasho a 67% favorite over Adryen Spinks in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (63%).
Noah Gasho holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1598 to 1503, a 95-point edge.
Noah Gasho enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Noah Gasho 75%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.