Ahejiang Ailinuer vs Alex Caceres
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
17-4-0Record21-15-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'9"Height5'9"
72"Reach73,5"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Warriors Fight ClubTeamMMA Lab
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1666
If they lose-16→ 1634
If they win+12→ 1663
If they lose-12→ 1639
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1533 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1649 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Ahejiang AilinuerAlex Caceres
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ahejiang Ailinuer53%
Alex Caceres 47%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Ahejiang Ailinuer a 53% favorite over Alex Caceres in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Alex Caceres's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1650 vs 1651), separated by just 1 points.
Alex Caceres enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Ahejiang Ailinuer finishes 82% of wins inside the distance, Alex Caceres 52%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.