Combat Edge Intelligence

Ahejiang Ailinuer vs Bart Palaszewski

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

17-3-0Record36-17-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'9"Height5'9"
72"ReachTBD
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Warriors Fight ClubTeamTeam Curran

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Ahejiang AilinuerNow 1664
If they win+16→ 1680
If they lose-16→ 1648
Bart PalaszewskiNow 1665
If they win+12→ 1677
If they lose-12→ 1653

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1500 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1622 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
2.67
TBD
Strike accuracy
33%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.97
TBD
Strike defense
58%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0.65
TBD
Takedown accuracy
31%
TBD
Takedown defense
53%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.52

Trajectory

Ahejiang AilinuerBart Palaszewski
165017002011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (41%)
KO/TKO
18 (50%)
7 (41%)
Submission
10 (28%)
3 (18%)
Decision
8 (22%)

Combat Edge model read

Ahejiang Ailinuer70%
Bart Palaszewski 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Ahejiang Ailinuer a 70% favorite over Bart Palaszewski in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Bart Palaszewski's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1664 vs 1665), separated by just 1 points.

Ahejiang Ailinuer enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Bart Palaszewski enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Ahejiang Ailinuer finishes 82% of wins inside the distance, Bart Palaszewski 78%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.