Combat Edge Intelligence

Ahejiang Ailinuer vs Robert Ruchała

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

17-3-0Record11-3-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'9"Height5'10"
72"Reach72"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Ahejiang AilinuerNow 1664
If they win+16→ 1680
If they lose-16→ 1648
Robert RuchałaNow 1667
If they win+16→ 1683
If they lose-16→ 1651

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1500 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1610 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
2.27
TBD
Strike accuracy
35%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.27
TBD
Strike defense
57%
TBD
Takedown avg.
2
TBD
Takedown accuracy
33%
TBD
Takedown defense
0%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Ahejiang AilinuerRobert Ruchała
16501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (41%)
KO/TKO
3 (27%)
7 (41%)
Submission
3 (27%)
3 (18%)
Decision
5 (45%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Ahejiang Ailinuer and Robert Ruchała within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1664 vs 1667), separated by just 3 points.

Ahejiang Ailinuer enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Robert Ruchała enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Ahejiang Ailinuer finishes 82% of wins inside the distance, Robert Ruchała 55%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.