Combat Edge Intelligence

Ahmad Halimson vs Erick Gonzalez

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

8-4-1Record14-8-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'10"
-Reach75"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Spitfire Gym BerlinTeamFight Science

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Ahmad HalimsonNow 1580
If they win+16→ 1596
If they lose-16→ 1564
Erick GonzalezNow 1576
If they win+16→ 1592
If they lose-16→ 1560

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1509 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1577 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
2.40
TBD
Strike accuracy
37%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
8.08
TBD
Strike defense
41%
TBD
Takedown avg.
6
TBD
Takedown accuracy
56%
TBD
Takedown defense
50%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Ahmad HalimsonErick Gonzalez
1550160020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (25%)
KO/TKO
8 (57%)
4 (50%)
Submission
1 (7%)
2 (25%)
Decision
5 (36%)

Combat Edge model read

Ahmad Halimson60%
Erick Gonzalez 40%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Ahmad Halimson a 60% favorite over Erick Gonzalez in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1580 vs 1576), separated by just 4 points.

Ahmad Halimson enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Erick Gonzalez enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Ahmad Halimson finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Erick Gonzalez 64%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.