Ahmad Hassanzada vs Patrick Rivera
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
11-3-0Record13-4-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'2"Height6'0"
75"Reach-
157 lbsWeight170 lbs
Team Alpha Male· 1646 avg Elo · 22 ratedTeamGround Control Academy
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1641
If they lose-16→ 1609
If they win+16→ 1641
If they lose-16→ 1609
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1496 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1452 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Ahmad HassanzadaPatrick Rivera
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Patrick Rivera59%
Ahmad Hassanzada 41%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Patrick Rivera a 59% favorite over Ahmad Hassanzada in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Ahmad Hassanzada's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1625 vs 1625), separated by just 0 points.
Ahmad Hassanzada enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Patrick Rivera enters on a 6-fight win streak.
Ahmad Hassanzada finishes 91% of wins inside the distance, Patrick Rivera 77%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.