Ahmed Darwish vs Carlos Eduardo Rocha
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
6-2-0Record9-4-0
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
5'9"Height5'10"
70"ReachTBD
185 lbsWeight170 lbs
TeamAmerican Kickboxing Academy· 1641 avg Elo · 5 rated
What's at stake
Ahmed Darwish is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +20 while a loss costs more — Carlos Eduardo Rocha carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+20→ 1516
If they lose-28→ 1468
If they win+14→ 1446
If they lose-10→ 1422
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1526 · 6 fightsPre-fight Elo1608 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Ahmed DarwishCarlos Eduardo Rocha
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ahmed Darwish71%
Carlos Eduardo Rocha 29%Elo baseline: 59%
The Combat Edge model makes Ahmed Darwish a 71% favorite over Carlos Eduardo Rocha in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (59%).
Ahmed Darwish holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1496 to 1432, a 64-point edge.
Ahmed Darwish enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Carlos Eduardo Rocha enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Ahmed Darwish finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Carlos Eduardo Rocha 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.