Ahmed Darwish vs Jason Von Flue
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
6-2-0Record14-12-1
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
5'9"Height6'0"
70"ReachTBD
185 lbsWeight170 lbs
TBDTeamTeam Live Wire
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+23→ 1520
If they lose-25→ 1472
If they win+12→ 1497
If they lose-12→ 1473
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1528 · 6 fightsPre-fight Elo1517 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Ahmed DarwishJason Von Flue
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ahmed Darwish70%
Jason Von Flue 30%Elo baseline: 52%
The Combat Edge model makes Ahmed Darwish a 70% favorite over Jason Von Flue in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1497 vs 1485), separated by just 12 points.
Ahmed Darwish enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Ahmed Darwish finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Jason Von Flue 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.