Ahmed Darwish vs Omar Hussein
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
6-2-0Record12-7-0
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
5'9"Height6'1"
70"Reach73"
185 lbsWeight170 lbs
TeamTeam Alpha Male· 1645 avg Elo · 21 rated
What's at stake
Omar Hussein is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Ahmed Darwish carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+29→ 1525
If they lose-19→ 1477
If they win+13→ 1583
If they lose-19→ 1551
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1526 · 6 fightsPre-fight Elo1525 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Ahmed DarwishOmar Hussein
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Omar Hussein61%
Ahmed Darwish 39%Elo baseline: 60%
The Combat Edge model makes Omar Hussein a 61% favorite over Ahmed Darwish in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (60%).
Omar Hussein holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1570 to 1496, a 74-point edge.
Ahmed Darwish enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Omar Hussein enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Ahmed Darwish finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Omar Hussein 58%.
Omar Hussein carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.