Ahmed Darwish vs Ricardo Romero
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
6-2-0Record11-10-0
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
5'9"Height6'1"
70"Reach-
185 lbsWeight170 lbs
TeamMakiavelo Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1519
If they lose-24→ 1471
If they win+16→ 1509
If they lose-16→ 1477
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1523 · 6 fightsPre-fight Elo1503 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Ahmed DarwishRicardo Romero
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ricardo Romero53%
Ahmed Darwish 47%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Ricardo Romero a 53% favorite over Ahmed Darwish in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Ahmed Darwish's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1495 vs 1493), separated by just 2 points.
Ahmed Darwish enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Ricardo Romero enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Ahmed Darwish finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Ricardo Romero 73%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.