Ahmed Darwish vs Shonie Carter
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
6-2-0Record52-32-7
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'9"Height5'9"
70"ReachTBD
185 lbsWeight176 lbs
TBDTeamIron Academy
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1520
If they lose-24→ 1472
If they win+12→ 1509
If they lose-12→ 1485
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1525 · 6 fightsPre-fight Elo1538 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Ahmed DarwishShonie Carter
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ahmed Darwish66%
Shonie Carter 34%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Ahmed Darwish a 66% favorite over Shonie Carter in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Shonie Carter's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1496 vs 1497), separated by just 1 points.
Ahmed Darwish enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Shonie Carter enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Ahmed Darwish finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Shonie Carter 52%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.