Combat Edge Intelligence

Ahmed Darwish vs Terence Crawford

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Ahmed Darwish
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Ahmed Darwish

“The Egyptian Eagle”

6-2-0MiddleweightPFL

1496Average

Tale of the tape

6-2-0Record42-0-0
MiddleweightDivisionwelterweight
5'9"Height5'8"
70"Reach74"
185 lbsWeight147 LBS
TBDTeam B&B BOXING ACCADEMY

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Ahmed DarwishNow 1496
If they win+24→ 1520
If they lose-24→ 1472
Terence CrawfordNow 1500
If they win+24→ 1524
If they lose-24→ 1476

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1525 · 6 fightsPre-fight EloTBD

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Win method breakdown

1 (17%)
KO/TKO
31 (74%)
3 (50%)
Submission
0 (0%)
2 (33%)
Decision
11 (26%)

Combat Edge model read

Ahmed Darwish60%
Terence Crawford 40%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Ahmed Darwish a 60% favorite over Terence Crawford in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Terence Crawford's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1496 vs 1500), separated by just 4 points.

Ahmed Darwish enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Ahmed Darwish finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Terence Crawford 74%.

Terence Crawford carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.