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PFL Washington D.c.: Jean vs Rodriguez

Main eventThad Jean def. Ernesto Rodriguezby TKO · 8 results recordedFull result →
DateSaturday, July 25, 2026Start 10:00 PM EDT
VenueCareFirst ArenaWashington, D.C., United States
BroadcastESPN 2How to watch
Join the discussionPredictions & oddsOfficial PFL event
Fight resultsComplete8 of 8 outcomes recordedView resultsHide results

Results appear as they are recorded; confirmation may be delayed. Each result shows what it does to both ratings: projected at first, then the published change once the rankings have counted the bout.

  1. Thad Jean vs Ernesto RodriguezThad Jean def. Ernesto Rodriguez by TKO · Round 3 · 2:44Elo: Thad Jean +15 to 1771 · Ernesto Rodriguez −15 to 1664
  2. Tyson Pedro vs Rafael XavierRafael Xavier def. Tyson Pedro by TKO · Round 1 · 4:59Elo: Tyson Pedro −21 to 1593 · Rafael Xavier +21 to 1602
  3. Sullivan Cauley vs Rasul MagomedovRasul Magomedov def. Sullivan Cauley by Decision (Unanimous) · Round 3 · 5:00Elo: Sullivan Cauley −12 to 1632 · Rasul Magomedov +12 to 1736
  4. Eliezer Kubanza vs Chris MixanEliezer Kubanza def. Chris Mixan by Submission · Round 2 · 2:34Elo: Eliezer Kubanza +26 to 1673 · Chris Mixan −26 to 1590
  5. Bryce Meredith vs Michael CyrBryce Meredith def. Michael Cyr by Decision (unanimous) · Round 3 · 5:00Elo: Bryce Meredith +23 to 1648 · Michael Cyr −16 to 1600
  6. Nkosi Ndebele vs Brandon DavisNkosi Ndebele def. Brandon Davis by Decision (Unanimous) · Round 3 · 5:00Elo: Nkosi Ndebele +12 to 1692 · Brandon Davis −12 to 1586
  7. Chad Yard vs Coby BradfordCoby Bradford def. Chad Yard by Submission · Round 2 · 1:57Elo: Chad Yard −27 to 1473 · Coby Bradford +27 to 1545
  8. Noah Hermosillo vs Jacob PaisNoah Hermosillo def. Jacob Pais by Decision (unanimous) · Round 3 · 5:00Elo: Noah Hermosillo +26 to 1526 · Jacob Pais −26 to 1503

Recorded results remain available on this page.

Main card

Thad Jean
Elo1771Great
3Y trend1644 → 1771
2023-08-04: 16442024-04-19: 16612024-08-16: 16812025-04-03: 17152025-06-12: 17382025-08-01: 17562026-07-25: 1771
WinnerusThad JeanSilverback12-0-0Welterweight World TitleVSFight details →LosercuErnesto RodriguezStarboy11-2-0Ernesto Rodriguez
Elo1664Good
3Y trend1640 → 1664
2024-02-02: 16402024-10-11: 16552025-04-25: 16662026-03-28: 16792026-07-25: 1664
Tyson Pedro
Elo1593Solid
3Y trend1661 → 1593
2023-09-10: 16612024-03-02: 16492026-04-16: 16362026-04-16: 16142026-07-25: 1593
LoserauTyson Pedro10-7-0Light HeavyweightVSFight details →WinnerbrRafael XavierKratos15-9-0Rafael Xavier
Elo1602Solid
3Y trend1586 → 1602
2023-12-09: 15862024-09-14: 15752025-06-27: 15912026-05-02: 15812026-07-25: 1602
Sullivan Cauley
Elo1632Solid
3Y trend1612 → 1632
2023-08-11: 16122025-05-01: 16402025-06-27: 16702025-08-21: 16452026-07-25: 1632
LoserusSullivan CauleySully8-3-0Light HeavyweightVSFight details →WinnerbhRasul Magomedov10-0-0Rasul Magomedov
Elo1736Good
3Y trend1581 → 1736
2023-12-08: 15812024-03-15: 16032024-05-25: 16232024-08-02: 16422024-09-22: 16602024-11-23: 16752025-08-21: 16872026-02-06: 17132026-05-02: 17242026-07-25: 1736
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Eliezer Kubanza
Elo1673Good
3Y trend1628 → 1673
2023-12-08: 16282024-08-18: 16472024-12-13: 16612025-09-30: 16302025-12-20: 16472026-07-25: 1673
WinnercdEliezer KubanzaKing Kong9-1-0WelterweightVSFight details →LoserusChris MixanCossack7-4-0Chris Mixan
Elo1590Solid
3Y trend1584 → 1590
2024-03-29: 15842025-01-25: 16132025-08-15: 16442026-04-16: 16162026-07-25: 1590

Prelims

Bryce Meredith
Elo1648Solid
3Y trend1616 → 1648
2023-10-07: 16162024-04-04: 16302024-09-07: 16532025-08-21: 16252026-07-25: 1648
WinnerusBryce MeredithMisfit8-1-0CatchweightVSFight details →LoserusMichael CyrThe Mullet8-3-0Michael Cyr
Elo1600Solid
3Y trend1607 → 1600
2024-01-27: 16072024-11-02: 16282025-02-15: 16382025-10-25: 16162026-07-25: 1600
Nkosi Ndebele
Elo1707Good
3Y trend1632 → 1707
2023-12-15: 16322024-05-11: 16602024-12-13: 16372025-07-19: 16482025-10-18: 16562025-12-20: 16712026-04-10: 16792026-07-25: 16922026-08-22: 1707
WinnerzaNkosi NdebeleKing14-3-0CatchweightVSFight details →LoserusBrandon DavisKiller B15-13-0Brandon Davis
Elo1586Solid
3Y trend1586 → 1586
2026-07-25: 1586
Chad Yard
Elo1473Average
3Y trend1473 → 1473
2026-07-25: 1473
LoserbbChad YardKid Dangerous0-1-0Light HeavyweightVSFight details →WinnerusCoby BradfordThe Candyman6-4-0Coby Bradford
Elo1545Average
3Y trend1529 → 1545
2023-10-14: 15292023-12-02: 15552024-04-20: 15772024-07-12: 15442024-10-26: 15682025-04-12: 15392025-08-09: 15162025-09-20: 15412026-03-29: 15182026-07-25: 1545
Event command center

Card at a glance

All 8 recorded outcomes are in

Complete
Frozen model coverage8/8 boutsEvery tracked bout has a pre-fight model snapshot.
Closest matchup50/50Bryce Meredith vs Michael Cyr
Model vs Elo0 disagreements6 of 6 comparable forecasts pick the same side as Elo alone.
Review results and Elo movement

Recorded results vs forecast

How the card compared with expectations

Model tied Elo
Combat Edge model6-275% accuracy
Elo-only baseline6-275% accuracy
Biggest model surpriseNoah Hermosillo wonThe frozen model gave the winner 40% against Jacob Pais.

The model and Elo baseline made the same call on all 8 graded bouts.

See all 8 graded bouts

Event status

Complete

Event progress

All 8 recorded outcomes are in. Final fight details and published Elo changes stay together here.

  1. AnnouncementDoneDate and location tracked
  2. Fight cardDone8 bouts tracked
  3. ResultsDone8 of 8 outcomes recorded
  4. Elo movementPublished8 bouts matched to the published snapshot
View predictions & modelHow Combat Edge Elo works

Published rating impact

Elo movement from this event

8 matched bouts

PFL Washington D.c.: Jean vs Rodriguez is a completed MMA event scheduled for Saturday, July 25, 2026 at CareFirst Arena in Washington, D.C., United States. The fight card includes 8 tracked fights, led by Thad Jean vs Ernesto Rodriguez, with bout links, fighter profiles, results, and Combat Edge stats. Main event result: Thad Jean def. Ernesto Rodriguez by TKO.

PFL Washington D.c.: Jean vs Rodriguez quick answers

When is PFL Washington D.c.: Jean vs Rodriguez?

PFL Washington D.c.: Jean vs Rodriguez is scheduled for Saturday, July 25, 2026. Start 10:00 PM EDT.

Where is PFL Washington D.c.: Jean vs Rodriguez?

PFL Washington D.c.: Jean vs Rodriguez is listed for CareFirst Arena in Washington, D.C., United States.

What is the main event for PFL Washington D.c.: Jean vs Rodriguez?

The main event listed for PFL Washington D.c.: Jean vs Rodriguez is Thad Jean vs Ernesto Rodriguez.

How many fights are on PFL Washington D.c.: Jean vs Rodriguez?

Combat Edge currently tracks 8 fights for PFL Washington D.c.: Jean vs Rodriguez.

Event discussion

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