Thad Jean12-0-0
Ernesto Rodriguez11-2-0
Model leanModel + Elo agreeModel hit · Thad Jean won
67%Thad Jean33%Ernesto Rodriguez
Combat Edge Model · Full card
PFL Washington D.c.: Jean vs Rodriguez predictions
Model win probabilities for every bout on PFL Washington D.c.: Jean vs Rodriguez (July 25, 2026), computed from point-in-time Elo, records, and matchup data. Forecasts freeze before fight night and every result is graded on the public accuracy tracker. Analytics, not betting advice.
8Total bouts
8Frozen forecasts
2Close matchups
0Model / Elo splits
1Strong model leans
LockedFight card started
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Showing all 8 matchups.
Main card
Main card predictions
4 matchups · model probability, Elo baseline, fighter records, and your pick in one place.
Tyson Pedro10-7-0
Rafael Xavier15-9-0
Model leanModel + Elo agreeModel miss · Rafael Xavier won
60%Tyson Pedro40%Rafael Xavier
Sullivan Cauley8-3-0
Rasul Magomedov10-0-0
Model leanModel + Elo agreeModel hit · Rasul Magomedov won
37%Sullivan Cauley63%Rasul Magomedov
Eliezer Kubanza9-1-0
Chris Mixan7-4-0
Close matchup50/50 baselineEven call · Eliezer Kubanza won
50%Eliezer Kubanza50%Chris Mixan
Prelims
Prelims predictions
4 matchups · model probability, Elo baseline, fighter records, and your pick in one place.
Bryce Meredith8-1-0
Michael Cyr8-3-0
Close matchup50/50 baselineEven call · Bryce Meredith won
50%Bryce Meredith50%Michael Cyr
Nkosi Ndebele14-3-0
Brandon Davis15-13-0
Strong model leanModel + Elo agreeModel hit · Nkosi Ndebele won
73%Nkosi Ndebele27%Brandon Davis
Chad Yard0-1-0
Coby Bradford6-4-0
Model leanModel + Elo agreeModel hit · Coby Bradford won
40%Chad Yard60%Coby Bradford
Noah Hermosillo1-0-0
Jacob Pais1-1-0
Model leanModel + Elo agreeModel miss · Noah Hermosillo won
40%Noah Hermosillo60%Jacob Pais