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Combat Edge Intelligence

Ahmed El Sisy vs Caros Fodor

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Caros Fodor
us

Caros Fodor

“The Future”

11-6-0LightweightPFL

1609Solid

Tale of the tape

8-3-0Record11-6-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height5'9"
69"ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight156 lbs
Atom Jiu-JitsuTeamAMC Pankration

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Ahmed El SisyNow 1610
If they win+16→ 1626
If they lose-16→ 1594
Caros FodorNow 1609
If they win+16→ 1625
If they lose-16→ 1593

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1519 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1578 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
3.13
Not available
Strike accuracy
51%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.40
Not available
Strike defense
54%
Not available
Takedown avg.
3
Not available
Takedown accuracy
23%
Not available
Takedown defense
50%
Not available
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Ahmed El SisyCaros Fodor
16001650201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (50%)
KO/TKO
2 (18%)
0 (0%)
Submission
5 (45%)
4 (50%)
Decision
4 (36%)

Combat Edge model read

Caros Fodor53%
Ahmed El Sisy 47%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Caros Fodor a 53% favorite over Ahmed El Sisy in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Ahmed El Sisy's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1610 vs 1609), separated by just 1 points.

Ahmed El Sisy finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Caros Fodor 64%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.