Ahmed El Sisy vs Chris Gruetzemacher
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
8-3-0Record15-5-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height5'8"
69"Reach68"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Atom Jiu-JitsuTeam2 Knuckle Sports MMA Academy
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1626
If they lose-16→ 1594
If they win+16→ 1625
If they lose-16→ 1593
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1519 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1624 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Ahmed El SisyChris Gruetzemacher
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Chris Gruetzemacher58%
Ahmed El Sisy 42%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Chris Gruetzemacher a 58% favorite over Ahmed El Sisy in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Ahmed El Sisy's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1610 vs 1609), separated by just 1 points.
Ahmed El Sisy finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Chris Gruetzemacher 67%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.