Combat Edge Intelligence

Ahmed El Sisy vs Dan Lauzon

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Dan Lauzon
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Dan Lauzon

“The Upgrade”

17-6-0WelterweightCES

1638Solid

Tale of the tape

8-2-0Record17-6-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'8"Height5'10"
69"ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight170 lbs
Atom Jiu-JitsuTeamLauzon MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Ahmed El SisyNow 1637
If they win+24→ 1661
If they lose-24→ 1613
Dan LauzonNow 1638
If they win+16→ 1654
If they lose-16→ 1622

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1512 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1544 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
1.54
TBD
Strike accuracy
29%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.97
TBD
Strike defense
62%
TBD
Takedown avg.
1.98
TBD
Takedown accuracy
43%
TBD
Takedown defense
80%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Ahmed El SisyDan Lauzon
1600165017002014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (50%)
KO/TKO
9 (53%)
0 (0%)
Submission
7 (41%)
4 (50%)
Decision
1 (6%)

Combat Edge model read

Ahmed El Sisy60%
Dan Lauzon 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Ahmed El Sisy a 60% favorite over Dan Lauzon in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Dan Lauzon's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1637 vs 1638), separated by just 1 points.

Ahmed El Sisy enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Dan Lauzon enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Ahmed El Sisy finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Dan Lauzon 94%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.