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Combat Edge Intelligence

Ahmed El Sisy vs Darrell Horcher

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

8-3-0Record14-7-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height5'10"
69"Reach72,0"
155 lbsWeight154 lbs
Atom Jiu-JitsuTeamUnrivaled Athletics

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Ahmed El SisyNow 1610
If they win+16→ 1626
If they lose-16→ 1594
Darrell HorcherNow 1608
If they win+16→ 1624
If they lose-16→ 1592

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1519 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1629 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
2.05
Not available
Strike accuracy
45%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.21
Not available
Strike defense
39%
Not available
Takedown avg.
0.35
Not available
Takedown accuracy
50%
Not available
Takedown defense
47%
Not available
Submission avg.
0.69

Trajectory

Ahmed El SisyDarrell Horcher
16001650202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (50%)
KO/TKO
7 (50%)
0 (0%)
Submission
1 (7%)
4 (50%)
Decision
6 (43%)

Combat Edge model read

Ahmed El Sisy57%
Darrell Horcher 43%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Ahmed El Sisy a 57% favorite over Darrell Horcher in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1610 vs 1608), separated by just 2 points.

Darrell Horcher enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Ahmed El Sisy finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Darrell Horcher 57%.

Darrell Horcher carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.