Ahmed El Sisy vs Luis Pena
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
8-2-0Record12-6-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'8"Height6'3"
69"ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight161 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1661
If they lose-24→ 1613
If they win+16→ 1656
If they lose-16→ 1624
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1512 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1577 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Ahmed El SisyLuis Pena
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ahmed El Sisy60%
Luis Pena 40%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Ahmed El Sisy a 60% favorite over Luis Pena in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Luis Pena's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1637 vs 1640), separated by just 3 points.
Ahmed El Sisy enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Ahmed El Sisy finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Luis Pena 67%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.