Combat Edge Intelligence

Ahmed El Sisy vs Nick Hein

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Nick Hein
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Nick Hein

“Sergeant”

14-5-0LightweightUFC

1636Solid

Tale of the tape

8-2-0Record14-5-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height5'6"
69"ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Atom Jiu-JitsuTeamTiger Muay Thai

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Ahmed El SisyNow 1637
If they win+24→ 1661
If they lose-24→ 1613
Nick HeinNow 1636
If they win+16→ 1652
If they lose-16→ 1620

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1512 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1602 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
2.65
TBD
Strike accuracy
35%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.61
TBD
Strike defense
60%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0.86
TBD
Takedown accuracy
33%
TBD
Takedown defense
83%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Ahmed El SisyNick Hein
1600165017002017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (50%)
KO/TKO
1 (7%)
0 (0%)
Submission
4 (29%)
4 (50%)
Decision
9 (64%)

Combat Edge model read

Ahmed El Sisy60%
Nick Hein 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Ahmed El Sisy a 60% favorite over Nick Hein in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1637 vs 1636), separated by just 1 points.

Ahmed El Sisy enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Nick Hein enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Ahmed El Sisy finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Nick Hein 36%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.