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Combat Edge Intelligence

Ahmed El Sisy vs Yancy Medeiros

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

8-3-0Record16-9-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'8"Height5'10"
69"Reach75"
155 lbsWeight165 lbs
Atom Jiu-JitsuTeamTeam Hakuilua

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Ahmed El SisyNow 1610
If they win+16→ 1626
If they lose-16→ 1594
Yancy MedeirosNow 1609
If they win+16→ 1625
If they lose-16→ 1593

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1519 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1671 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
4.36
Not available
Strike accuracy
37%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.67
Not available
Strike defense
47%
Not available
Takedown avg.
0.33
Not available
Takedown accuracy
17%
Not available
Takedown defense
74%
Not available
Submission avg.
0.65

Trajectory

Ahmed El SisyYancy Medeiros
160016502023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (50%)
KO/TKO
8 (50%)
0 (0%)
Submission
4 (25%)
4 (50%)
Decision
4 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Yancy Medeiros60%
Ahmed El Sisy 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Yancy Medeiros a 60% favorite over Ahmed El Sisy in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Ahmed El Sisy's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1610 vs 1609), separated by just 1 points.

Ahmed El Sisy finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Yancy Medeiros 75%.

Yancy Medeiros carries a 6-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.