Combat Edge Intelligence

Ahmed Tarek vs Anistavio Medeiros de Figueiredo

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Ahmed Tarek
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Ahmed Tarek

“The Mental Rock”

7-2-0FeatherweightPFL

1561Solid

Tale of the tape

7-2-0Record19-10-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'10"Height5'7"
74"ReachTBD
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
S&B AcademyTeamIndependent

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Ahmed TarekNow 1561
If they win+24→ 1585
If they lose-24→ 1537
Anistavio Medeiros de FigueiredoNow 1563
If they win+16→ 1579
If they lose-16→ 1547

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1517 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1506 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
3.64
TBD
Strike accuracy
44%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5
TBD
Strike defense
48%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
0%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Ahmed TarekAnistavio Medeiros de Figueiredo
15501600201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
3 (16%)
5 (71%)
Submission
16 (84%)
2 (29%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Ahmed Tarek66%
Anistavio Medeiros de Figueiredo 34%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Ahmed Tarek a 66% favorite over Anistavio Medeiros de Figueiredo in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Anistavio Medeiros de Figueiredo's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1561 vs 1563), separated by just 2 points.

Ahmed Tarek enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Ahmed Tarek finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Anistavio Medeiros de Figueiredo 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.