Combat Edge Intelligence

Ahmed Tarek vs Mike Wilkinson

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Ahmed Tarek
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Ahmed Tarek

“The Mental Rock”

7-2-0FeatherweightPFL

1562Solid

Tale of the tape

7-2-0Record9-5-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'10"Height5'8"
74"ReachTBD
145 lbsWeight145 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Ahmed TarekNow 1562
If they win+24→ 1586
If they lose-24→ 1538
Mike WilkinsonNow 1561
If they win+16→ 1577
If they lose-16→ 1545

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1520 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1566 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
2.35
TBD
Strike accuracy
38%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.70
TBD
Strike defense
36%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0.92
TBD
Takedown accuracy
14%
TBD
Takedown defense
56%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.92

Trajectory

Ahmed TarekMike Wilkinson
1550160016502017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
3 (33%)
5 (71%)
Submission
4 (44%)
2 (29%)
Decision
2 (22%)

Combat Edge model read

Ahmed Tarek66%
Mike Wilkinson 34%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Ahmed Tarek a 66% favorite over Mike Wilkinson in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1562 vs 1561), separated by just 1 points.

Ahmed Tarek enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Mike Wilkinson enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Ahmed Tarek finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Mike Wilkinson 78%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.