Ahmed Tarek vs Mohammad Yahya
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
7-2-0Record12-7-0
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'9"
74"Reach73"
145 lbsWeight155 lbs
S&B AcademyTeamTK MMA & Fitness
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1585
If they lose-24→ 1537
If they win+16→ 1581
If they lose-16→ 1549
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1517 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1554 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Ahmed TarekMohammad Yahya
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ahmed Tarek71%
Mohammad Yahya 29%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Ahmed Tarek a 71% favorite over Mohammad Yahya in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Mohammad Yahya's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1561 vs 1565), separated by just 4 points.
Ahmed Tarek enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Mohammad Yahya enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Ahmed Tarek finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Mohammad Yahya 75%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.